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Sep 17, 2014

Lessons for BJP in by-polls loss.. Its not Modi but some thing else ?

After every rise the fall is inevitable. Though the smater you are, the slower and lesser is the fall. BJP's story after a meteoric rise in Lok Sabha elections is different, in the by-elections post Lok Sabha polls, the party has lost badly in many states. Statistics substantiate its declining numbers, party could only win 20 seats out of 42 it had held in various states in the by-polls. In various states this is how BJP performed by-elections 0/3 in Uttrakhand, 1/3 in Karnataka, 2/3 in Madhya Pradesh 4/10 in Bihar, 3/11 in UP, 1/4 in Rajasthan, 6/9 in Gujarat.

These defeats are succesive and these blows can be exploited by the opposition to spread the word that BJP is on a decline and Modi wave has now receded. After Lok Sabha win BJP has understood the importance of spreading the word among masses (Ache Din Aayenge) and party needs to understand that every defeats has some leasons to be learnt from

1. Modi did his bit in Lok Sabha elections and now its party's turn: As wrongly interpreted by mass media, in none of the above by-elections Modi govt's performance or his wave generated during Lok Sabha elections mattered to the voters, state elections are faught on very local issues. Ironically the local leaders of BJP are still in the hangover of Lok Sabha win, thus the arrogance and disconnnect with masses & issues at the grass root level.

2. Either you are with BJP or against them: The opposition parties of BJP are uniting & burrying their own differences with a clear strategy cut out for voters 'Either you are with BJP or against them'. Bihar is a glaring example of this and BSP's no show in UP by-polls also resulted the political equations into the above mentioned scenario.

3. BJP wins when its Karyakarta brings out the voter: The prominent commonality in all the by-poll defeats for BJP has been a no show by its voter thus bringing down the voting percentage. The party should not forget that Modi created history because his voters turned out in historic numbers. But it seems that in these by-polls voters have suddenly lost the zeal to come out and vote. This is a direct reflection of Karyakartas complacency.

4. Modi talked Development but local leaders talk Communal: This miscalculation has destroyed the perception of the party that was created and nurtured during Lok Sabha ellections. Modi always talked of development but suddenly the local leadership of BJP is turning the agenda into communal. In this age masses & classes are well informed, Communal Issues can afffect a section but the Developmental Issues can have influence accross the sections of society. Glaring example of this is when Rahul Gandhi's rhetoric & dramatics failed because he was not able to convince people on the issues of development

5.    Modi Government's accomplishments & future plans are not publicised at local level: State elections are fought on local issues but BJP's state leadership must show the accomplisments & future plans of Modi Govt because these examples will inspire people in various state to look upto a party that is claiming to bring in the change from Center to State govt. Infact there can be a slogan for it 'We did it in the Center when you voted for us, now we will replicate it in the State give us a chance here'

All is well if it ends well but ironically in Politics there is never an end. BJP's karyakarta and local neta must realise this and stop thinking that win in Lok Sabha elections is an end.


Anonymous said...

Sir, You have written the real facts...BJP should must be careful otherwise they may loose future elections...

Anonymous said...

BJP has created hype around every thing. serious issue can not be solved without team and BJP is dived party from within soon there will be more drama to see

Unknown said...

I think one more factor was there. Modi and Amit Shah deliberately taken a chance to check state leaders strengths. So they didn't do too much in bye election. Amit Shah flexes his muscles in W. Bengal, result is there. But they didn't touch UP, Rajasthan, Gujrat, MP. They wanted to teach lesson To Mrs Raje as she was showing Rajasthan success was her. Assembly result would be totally different. BJP is going to win Maharashtra, Haryana, Jharkhand, Uttranchal, Bihar. Even BJP will be largest group in J & K assembly.

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